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25 January 2007

Comments

While I agree with the criticism of pursuing the elusive goal of “#1” I will take issue with Marek Fuchs tatement “being No. 1 doesn't matter one whit.”

There is a segment of the market that will buy from #1 as they feel a need to align themselves with “the winner.” Whoever wins the Super Bowl will sell many hats and shirts to those people. They will become Colts (or Bears) fans and seek to be identified as part of that success.

There is also a market segment that buys from #1 as (in their mind) it simplifies the purchasing selection and negates the need to do research, “if they are #1 there must be a reason, so I will just go with them.” I believe this is especially true in the domestic consumer markets, i.e. automotive.

"Ford Chief Sees Small as Virtue and Necessity"

http://www.nytimes.com/2007/01/26/automobiles/26ford.html?pagewanted=2&ei=5089&en=daa2713f3879e60e&ex=1327467600&partner=rssyahoo&emc=rss

If there were enough people that automatically bought from #1, then GM could charge higher prices and make money.

Since GM is unable to make money, then this logic seems flawed. If the #1 effect is so small that it can't overcome the rest of GM's problems, then it makes sense to address those other causes first, and ignore the slight bonus in sales from the #1 effect.

Being #1 is just an ego boost for the GM leadership. As a shareholder would you want them to spend your money to soothe their egos, when it will drive the company into bankruptcy? Would you do the same if you owned the business?

If you disagree with my logic, then what percentage of car buyers only buy from #1? I suspect the number is <5%.

A better argument for being #1 is economies of scale and all that anti-Lean, Fat manufacturing cost-accounting mumbo-jumbo.

There probably is too much ego in the #1 fetish, but in GM's case it's not *all* ego--remember, they have union contracts and benefits plans that must be honored, so a massive reduction in scale is not as feasible as it would be for a company without these constraints.

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